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Trump, Polymarket
Opinion
No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
It seems likely that a small group of traders (or possibly a lone individual) have pushed up former President Donald Trump’s odds on Polymarket, the crypto-based prediction market, by heavily betting on the Republican nominee.
Polymarket Prediction Platform Possibly Manipulated to Favor Trump: Report
Trump's odds of defeating Vice President Kamala Harris have mysteriously surged on the platform in recent weeks.
What to know about the potential $30 million whale moving betting markets toward Trump
Four Polymarket accounts that appear to be connected have bet $30 million that Trump will win the election, according to Arkham Intelligence.
Betting Market That Touts Massive Trump Win ‘Is Being Manipulated’: Experts
A betting market that is being touted by Donald Trump’s supporters as proof that he will win the election has been manipulated by multi-million dollar wagers to make him appear certain of victory, experts are warning.
16h
Mystery overseas account increases its Trump bids on Polymarket betting site
One of the four accounts on Polymarket that have fueled speculation over their large bets on a Trump election victory has ...
17h
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
By contrast, the industry leader Polymarket prohibits U.S traders from the platform but does not require a know-your-customer ...
3d
$30 Million Is All It Took to Shift the Odds in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket
The huge buy is further proof that predictive betting sites are only a reflection of what degenerate gamblers are willing to ...
2d
$30 Million In Polymarket 'Voodoo' Bets Favoring Trump May Be Work Of One Wealthy Backer
Thiel also spent a record $15 million on the winning 2022 Senate campaign of Trump running mate JD Vance, a former employee ...
devdiscourse
15h
High-Stakes Bets Surge on Trump's Election Chances in Polymarket Frenzy
Significant bets on Polymarket have increased the potential payout for a Trump election victory to $43 million. These bets, by non-American accounts, have raised eyebrows due to their contrast with ...
2d
Polymarket and the 2024 US general election, explained
Currently, Polymarket has the chance that Donald Trump wins the election at 60 percent, which is much higher than the polls ...
Wired
12d
The Polymarket Bubble: Everyone Is Betting on the US Election
Learn more. Please also consider subscribing to WIRED On Sunday, a quote-tweet from Musk sent former president Donald Trump’s ...
3d
Republican Sweep More Likely In 2024 US Elections: Polymarket Bettors
With less than three weeks left before the elections, Polymarket bettors are rushing to get their predictions in as they ...
Inside Bitcoins
3d
Trump Leads Polymarket Presidential Odds with a Massive $26M Bet
While conventional polls show the upcoming November election to be a close call, Polymarket, a prediction platform, suggests ...
CoinDesk on MSN
4h
Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided
Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.
23h
Arizona: The Rising Swing State Leaning Trump So Far On Polymarket
Polymarket bettors believe Trump has higher chances of taking Arizona in this year's elections, but Harris still has a chance ...
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