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Fed confirms a slower and shallower rate cut story for 2025

4 hours ago · After 100bp of interest rate cuts in the latter part of 2024, the Fed held policy steady in January and suggested it was in no hurry to cut again. The recent developments surrounding tariffs are likely to keep it that way through the first half of 2025. We expect stronger near-term consumer demand ...

5 hours ago · Economic growth last year was disappointing across much of the CEE region, and we expect a similar story this year. Its recovery should continue, but we think it'll be weaker than market consensus assumes. Risks point clearly to the downside from this point, and further disinflation is complicated ...

6 days ago · Latest and Most read on ING THINK

3 days ago · Inflation across the eurozone ticked up thanks to a higher contribution from energy prices, while food inflation fell and core inflation remained stable at 2.7%. Base effects – which have driven inflation higher in recent months – eased in …

Dec 5, 2024 · ING's complete 2025 economic outlook . A new US president, a threatened trade war, political turmoil in Europe’s powerhouses… 2025 is shaping up to be another extraordinary year.

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Dec 5, 2024 · United Kingdom. The UK outperformed most of its Western European neighbours through the first three quarters of 2024. Admittedly, not all of that can be easily explained by underlying economic fundamentals, and more importantly, momentum seems to be slowing.

Sep 27, 2024 · US Treasury curve dives into cuts and risks being caught by upside surprises. While markets are prepared for more US data disappointments, the durable goods orders and jobless claims both performed better than consensus.